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Paramount Resources Reports Q1 2019 Results

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   |    Wednesday,May 08,2019

Paramount Resources reported its Q1 2019 results.

Highlights:

  • Sales volumes averaged 81,296 Boe/d (37 percent liquids) in the first quarter of 2019.
  • Paramount’s netback increased 61 percent to $115.7 million in the first quarter of 2019 compared to $72.0 million in the fourth quarter of 2018, mainly due to a 26 percent average increase in realized prices.
  • The liquids-rich Karr development accounted for $52.8 million (46 percent) of the Company’s total netback in the first quarter.
  • Adjusted funds flow increased 121 percent to $100.5 million ($0.77 per share) in the first quarter of 2019 compared to $45.5 million ($0.35 per share) in the prior quarter.
  • The Company is delivering test volumes from its Wapiti 9-3 pad as part of the commissioning of the new third-party processing plant. First sales are expected in May 2019.
  • Paramount is reaffirming its 2019 production guidance, including first half average sales volumes of between 80,000 Boe/d and 81,000 Boe/d and annual average sales volumes of between 81,000 Boe/d and 85,000 Boe/d. Production is expected to increase in the second half of the year as Wapiti ramps up, with fourth quarter sales volumes expected to average between 85,000 Boe/d and 90,000 Boe/d.
  • First quarter base capital spending totaled $68.6 million, primarily related to drilling and completion programs at Wapiti and Kaybob Montney Oil.
  • The Company’s $350 million base capital budget for 2019 remains unchanged.
  • The expansion of the Karr 6-18 natural gas facility (the ʺ6-18 Facilityʺ) remains on track for start-up in the second half of 2020. First quarter spending on the project totaled $34.5 million. Total forecast spending for the project for 2019 remains at $145 million. The Company continues to evaluate funding alternatives to complete the project.
  • Paramount’s natural gas diversification strategy includes approximately 122,000 GJ/d of sales underlong-term contracts priced at the Dawn, US Midwest and Malin markets. The Company’s average realized natural gas sales price for the first quarter of 2019 was $3.37/Mcf compared to average AECO prices of $2.17/GJ.
  • The Company has 15,000 Bbl/d of liquids hedged for the remainder of 2019 at an average price of $77.58/Bbl and 3,000 Bbl/d hedged for 2020 at an average price of $80.07/Bbl.
  • The Company’s net debt position was $903.3 million as at March 31, 2019, relatively unchanged from December 31, 2018, as first quarter capital spending was largely funded by cash flow.

Ops Review

Paramount’s sales volumes averaged 81,296 Boe/d in the first quarter of 2019. The Company’s first quarter netback increased 61 percent to $115.7 million from $72.0 million in the fourth quarter of 2018. First quarter 2019 adjusted funds flow increased 121 percent to $100.5 million compared to $45.5 million in the prior quarter.

Base capital spending totaled $68.6 million in the first quarter of 2019, primarily related to drilling and completion programs at Wapiti and Kaybob Montney Oil. Total capital spending in the first quarter of 2019, including spending related to the 6-18 Facility expansion, corporate projects and land acquisitions, was $104.1 million.

GRANDE PRAIRIE REGION

 

 

 

 

 

 

Karr

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Q1 2019

 

Q4 2018

 

% Change

Sales volumes

 

75.0

 

 

 

Natural gas (MMcf/d)

 

 

74.7

 

Condensate and oil (Bbl/d)

 

10,712

 

12,222

(12)

Other NGLs (Bbl/d)

 

1,579

 

1,609

(2)

Total (Boe/d)

 

24,786

 

26,282

(6)

% liquids

 

50%

 

53%

 

 

Netback

 

 

 

 

% Change in

($ millions)

($/Boe)

($ millions)

($/Boe)

$ millions

Petroleum and natural gas sales

89.0

39.89

82.2

33.98

8

Royalties

(7.4)

(3.31)

(3.7)

(1.54)

100

Operating expense

(21.4)

(9.59)

(24.4)

(10.10)

(12)

Transportation and NGLs processing

(7.4)

(3.33)

(7.3)

(3.04)

1

 

52.8

23.66

46.8

19.30

13

First quarter 2019 sales volumes at the Karr development averaged 24,786 Boe/d compared to 26,282 Boe/d in the fourth quarter of 2018. First quarter production was impacted by an unplanned outage at a downstream third-party processing facility in February and the effects of severe cold weather. The 6-18Facility achieved an overall runtime rate of 98 percent in the first quarter, excluding the duration of the unplanned third-party outage. The decrease in operating expenses in the first quarter was primarily due to lower processing fees and reduced water disposal costs. A higher-rate water injection system was installed at the 6-18 Facility in February, which increased water injection capacity and reduced water hauling and disposal costs.

Royalty rates for the Karr development increased in the first quarter of 2019 compared to the fourth quarter of 2018, as a number of wells had fully utilized new well royalty incentives. New wells at Karr will continue to benefit from a five percent initial royalty rate up to the maximum incentive.

Development activities at Karr will resume in the second quarter of 2019 with the completion of five Montney wells drilled in 2018 on the 4-24 pad. The Company scheduled completion operations after spring breakup to capture cost savings resulting from operating in warmer conditions. Paramount also plans to commence drilling three new wells on the 1-19 pad. These eight new Montney wells will be brought-on production as required to offset natural production declines.

The expansion of the 6-18 Facility remains on track for start-up in the second half of 2020. First quarter 2019 capital spending on the project totaled $34.5 million, primarily related to long-lead time equipment purchases.

The Company drilled its initial lower Montney well on the 1-2 pad in 2018. Two additional wells in the 2019 development program will also target the lower Montney. To date, no lower Montney locations have been included in the reserves recognized for Karr. The results of these three wells will be incorporated in Paramount’s reserves evaluations in the future and will be used to determine the Company’s inventory of potential lower Montney drilling locations.

Producing Montney wells at Karr continue to exhibit strong production rates and condensate yields. The following table summarizes the performance of the five wells on the 1-2 pad brought on-stream in the third quarter of 2018 and the 27 wells drilled in the 2016/2017 Karr capital program:

 

 

Peak 30-Day (1)

 

 

 

Cumulative (2)

 

 

 

 

 

Wellhead

 

 

 

 

Wellhead

 

 

 

Days on

 

Total

Liquids

 

CGR (3)

 

Total

Liquids

 

CGR (3)

 

Production

 

(Boe/d)

(Bbl/d)

 

(Bbl/MMcf)

(MBoe)

(MBbl)

 

(Bbl/MMcf)

 

1-2 Pad

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

00/04-25-065-05W6/0

1,598

975

 

261

 

293

169

 

227

 

252

02/04-25-065-05W6/0

1,703

951

 

211

 

324

163

 

168

 

222

00/01-26-065-05W6/0

1,878

1,180

 

282

 

377

217

 

225

 

244

02/01-26-065-05W6/0

2,108

1,333

 

287

 

305

183

 

249

 

195

00/02-26-065-05W6/0

2,058

1,286

 

278

 

422

249

 

240

 

235

2016/2017 Wells

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

27 wells

 

 

 

252

 

 

 

 

185

 

 

(Peak 30 day – avg. per well)

1,971

1,186

 

 

15,309

8,055

 

 

519 (4)

(1)Peak 30-Day is the highest daily average production rate over a 30-day consecutive period for each well, measured at the wellhead. Natural gas sales volumes are approximately 10 percent lower and liquids sales volumes are approximately 12 percent lower due to shrinkage. Excludes days when the wells did not produce. The production rates and volumes shown are 30-day peak rates over a short period of time and, therefore, are not necessarily indicative of average daily production, long-term performance or of ultimate recovery from the wells. These wells were produced at restricted rates from time-to-time due to facility and gathering system constraints.

(2)Cumulative is the aggregate production measured at the wellhead to May 3, 2019. Natural gas sales volumes are approximately 10 percent lower and liquids sales volumes are approximately 12 percent lower due to shrinkage. These wells were produced at restricted rates from time-to-time due to facility and gathering system constraints. The production rates and volumes shown are not necessarily indicative of average daily production, long-term performance or of ultimate recovery from the wells.

(3)CGRs mean condensate to gas ratios and are calculated by dividing raw wellhead liquids volumes by raw wellhead natural gas volumes.

(4)Average days on production per well for the 2016/2017 Wells.

Wapiti

Paramount’s new Wapiti resource play is a continuation of the Montney trend that the Company has been successful in developing approximately 25 kilometers to the southeast at Karr. First quarter 2019 capital spending at Wapiti was $32.1 million, focused on the tie-in of 11 (11.0 net) wells on the 9-3 pad and the drilling of 12 (12.0 net) wells on the 5-3 pad.

The Company is delivering test volumes from the 9-3 pad as part of the commissioning of the new third- party Wapiti natural gas processing plant (the ʺWapiti Plantʺ) and first sales are expected in May 2019. Production is expected to increase as throughput at the Wapiti Plant ramps up, with all 11 wells on the 9-3pad scheduled to be brought-on production in 2019. Drilling operations were completed for 12 wells on the 5-3 pad in the first quarter of 2019, and these wells are scheduled to be completed in the second quarter. Paramount has firm-service third-party natural gas transportation capacity for its Wapiti production volumes, which increases from 50 MMcf/d in 2019 to 130 MMcf/d in 2021.

The Company continues to pursue innovative alternatives to further reduce costs in its drilling and completion programs, including optimizing drilling and completion designs, streamlining logistics and realizing the benefits of economies of scale by utilizing large multi-well pads. As a result of these cost reduction initiatives, total capital costs for the 9-3 pad were reduced by approximately 11 percent compared to the original budget for the project.

As the Company integrated learnings from the 9-3 pad, drilling improvements were achieved on the 5-3 pad. Drilling time decreased in the lateral sections by approximately 25 percent compared with the 9-3 pad.

In addition, the wellbores were drilled within the five-meter target zone for 94 percent of the lateral section compared to 83 percent observed for the wells on the 9-3 pad.

KAYBOB REGION

Kaybob Region sales volumes averaged 37,143 Boe/d in the first quarter of 2019 compared to 37,262 Boe/d in the fourth quarter of 2018. Capital spending totaled $27.4 million. Development activities in the first quarter focused on drilling and completion operations on the Duvernay and Montney.

Kaybob South Duvernay

At South Duvernay, 5 (2.5 net) new wells on the 2-28 pad were drilled in 2018 and completed in March and April 2019. These wells are expected to be tied-in and brought-on production in the third quarter of 2019. Paramount set new records for these wells, reducing drilling time for the lateral sections by 47 percent compared to the 7-22 pad drilled in 2018. The wellbores for the 2-28 pad were also drilled within the five- meter target zone for 91 percent of the lateral sections compared to 82 percent observed for the wells on the 7-22 pad.

Kaybob Montney Oil

At the Montney Oil development, two wells from the 2018 capital program were brought-on production in the first quarter of 2019 and three new wells were drilled. Two of these new wells are scheduled to be brought-on production in the second quarter.

Kaybob Smoky Duvernay

In November 2018, the Company brought 4 (4.0 net) new wells on production on the 10-35 pad at Smoky Duvernay through Paramount’s Smoky 06-16 plant. Cumulative production for these four wells as of May 3, 2019 totaled 674 MBoe, including 437 MBbl of wellhead liquids (average CGR of 310 Bbl/MMcf).(1)Production from the 10-35 pad has been facility constrained at the 06-16 plant and Paramount is currently completing debottlenecking enhancements to provide incremental capacity.

The Company’s Kaybob Region drilling program in the first quarter of 2019 also included a tenure well in the North Kaybob Duvernay oil window and an initial appraisal well at the Ante Creek Montney property.

CENTRAL ALBERTA

Central Alberta and Other Region sales volumes averaged 18,623 Boe/d in the first quarter of 2019 compared to 20,257 Boe/d in the fourth quarter of 2018. Capital spending totaled $5.5 million. The Company participated in drilling operations for one (0.5 net) well at Birch in northeast British Columbia in the first quarter of 2019. A tenure well is scheduled to be drilled in the East Shale Basin later in 2019.

The Company has commenced the closure program at Zama in northern Alberta, with approximately 25 percent of wells shut-in to date. The program will continue through the balance of the year as conditions permit.

Greenhouse Gas Reduction Initiative

As part of Paramount’s commitment to responsible energy development, the Company is participating in Alberta’s Carbon Competitiveness Incentive Program and investing in new equipment to reduce the emission of greenhouse gases (ʺGHGʺ) from its operations.

(1)Cumulative is the aggregate production measured at the wellhead to May 3, 2019. Natural gas sales volumes are approximately 10 percent lower and liquids sales volumes are approximately four percent lower due to shrinkage. The production rates and volumes stated are over a short period of time and, therefore, are not necessarily indicative of average daily production, long-term performance or of ultimate recovery from the wells.

Paramount is executing a project in the Central Alberta and Other and Kaybob regions to replace approximately 1,700 high-bleed controllers with modern low-bleed units at a total estimated cost of $3.5 million. Once installed, these low-bleed controllers are expected to eliminate approximately 120,000 tonnes of GHG emissions annually. This project is anticipated to generate approximately $9 million in GHG credits through 2022.

Planning has also commenced for upgrades to the Company’s remaining high-bleed controllers and other equipment to reduce emissions of GHGs, including methane, carbon dioxide, and nitrogen oxides.

Corporate

Paramount’s natural gas diversification strategy includes approximately 122,000 GJ/d of sales under long- term contracts priced at the Dawn, US Midwest and Malin markets. The Company’s average realized natural gas sales price for the first quarter of 2019 was $3.37/Mcf compared to average AECO prices of $2.17/GJ.

To protect the Company’s cash flows and support its capital programs, Paramount has 15,000 Bbl/d of liquids hedged for the remainder of 2019 at an average price of $77.58/Bbl and 3,000 Bbl/d hedged for 2020 at an average price of $80.07/Bbl.

In the first quarter of 2019, the Company entered into interest rate swaps to fix interest rates on a portion of its bank debt; $250 million notional amount for four years and an additional $250 million notional amount for seven years.

As at March 31, 2019, $827.3 million was drawn on the Company’s $1.5 billion bank credit facility. The Company’s net debt position was $903.3 million as at March 31, 2019, relatively unchanged from December 31, 2018, as first quarter capital spending was largely funded by cash flow.

In January 2019, Paramount implemented a normal course issuer bid program under which the Company may purchase up to 7.1 million Paramount common shares for cancellation. No purchases have been made under the program to date.

 

Q1 2019

Q4 2018

Sales volumes

 

 

Natural gas (MMcf/d)

308.0

315.2

Condensate and oil (Bbl/d)

23,679

24,898

Other NGLs (Bbl/d) (3)

6,284

7,059

Total (Boe/d)

81,296

84,495

 

 

 

% liquids

37%

38%

Grande Prairie Region (Boe/d)

25,530

26,976

Kaybob Region (Boe/d)

37,143

37,262

Central Alberta and Other Region (Boe/d)

18,623

20,257

Total (Boe/d)

81,296

84,495

Adjusted Funds Flow

 

 

$/Boe (2)

 

$/Boe (2)

Natural gas revenue

93.3

3.37

79.2

2.73

Condensate and oil revenue

134.8

63.26

104.3

45.54

Other NGLs revenue (3)

16.2

28.55

20.4

31.39

Royalty and sulphur revenue

1.8

3.5

Petroleum and natural gas sales

246.1

33.63

207.4

26.68

Royalties

(15.4)

(2.10)

(8.0)

(1.03)

Operating expense

(90.4)

(12.35)

(103.2)

(13.28)

Transportation and NGLs processing (4)

(24.6)

(3.36)

(24.2)

(3.11)

Netback

115.7

15.82

72.0

9.26

Commodity contract settlements

5.6

0.77

(9.3)

(1.20)

General and administrative

(13.7)

(1.88)

(16.8)

(2.16)

Interest and financing expense

(9.2)

(1.26)

(8.7)

(1.12)

Other

2.1

0.29

8.3

1.07

Adjusted funds flow

100.5

13.74

45.5

5.85

per share – diluted ($/share)

0.77

 

0.35

 

Exploration and Development Capital (5)

Grande Prairie Region

33.2

48.1

Karr 6-18 Facility Expansion

34.5

23.9

Kaybob Region

27.4

35.6

Central Alberta and Other Region

5.5

16.3

Total

100.6

123.9

 

 

 

Net loss

(76.7)

(170.5)

per share – basic and diluted ($/share)

(0.59)

(1.31)

 

 

 

Total assets

4,108.0

4,118.1

Net debt

903.3

896.0

Common shares outstanding (thousands)

130,904

130,899

(1)Readers are referred to the advisories concerning Non-GAAP Measures and Oil and Gas Measures and Definitions in the Advisories section of this document.

(2)Natural gas revenue presented as $/Mcf.

(3)Other NGLs means ethane, propane and butane.

(4)Includes downstream transportation costs and NGLs fractionation costs.

(5)Excludes land and property acquisitions and spending related to corporate assets.


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