Quarterly / Earnings Reports | Third Quarter (3Q) Update
Paramount Resources Details Q3 2019 Results
Paramount Resources reported its Q3 2019 results.
Highlights:
- Paramount's sales volumes averaged 81,046 Boe/d in the third quarter of 2019, relatively unchanged from the second quarter. Third quarter liquids sales volumes, however, increased 1,441 Bbl/d to 31,612 Bbl/d (39 percent of total sales) compared to 30,171 Bbl/d (37 percent of total sales) in the second quarter.
- At Wapiti, third quarter sales volumes increased 109 percent to 8,163 Boe/d (74 percent liquids) compared to the second quarter.
- All 11 (11.0 net) Montney wells on the Wapiti 9-3 pad have started-up and are producing at restricted rates largely due to intermittent, but improving, runtime associated with the commissioning of the new third-party Wapiti natural gas processing facility (the ʺWapiti Plantʺ). Under those operating conditions, the 11 wells averaged gross peak 30-day production of 1,198 Boe/d per well, with average CGRs of 378 Bbl/MMcf.(1)
- At the new 5-3 pad in Wapiti, three of 12 (12.0 net) wells were temporarily brought-on production through inline test facilities in late-September. The remaining wells are being flowed on cleanup on a rotational basis to recover completion fluids prior to the installation of permanent surface facilities. Initial flowback results have demonstrated higher production rates than the 9-3 pad.
- At Karr, 5 (5.0 net) new Montney wells were started-up on the 4-24 pad in late-September, averaging 2,027 Boe/d of gross peak 30-day production per well, with an average wellhead CGR of 339 Bbl/MMcf.(1)
- Paramount is increasing its fourth quarter 2019 production guidance to between 87,000 Boe/d and 90,000 Boe/d.
- The Company's third quarter netback was $68.2 million compared to $82.1 million in the second quarter of 2019, mainly due to lower commodity prices and incremental third-party processing fees following the sale of the Karr 6-18 natural gas processing facility (the ʺ6-18 Facilityʺ) in August.(2)
- Cash from operating activities was $48.6 million in the third quarter of 2019. Adjusted funds flow was $50.9 million ( $0.39 per share).(2)
- Base capital spending totaled $113.1 million for the third quarter and $265.0 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2019 , with capital programs at Wapiti and Central Alberta coming in under budget. As a result of capital efficiencies realized to date in the 2019 program, the Company has accelerated drilling operations for 10 (10.0 net) Montney wells at Karr into the fourth quarter of 2019 that were originally scheduled for 2020, while maintaining its 2019 base capital budget at $350 million .(2)
- The Company commenced its first area-based closure (ʺABCʺ) abandonment and reclamation project in the third quarter at Hawkeye. Economies of scale gained under the ABC approach have resulted in significantly lower costs than prior estimates. The Company's undiscounted estimated asset retirement obligation was revised down by approximately $140 million from December 31, 2018 to September 30, 2019 .
Corporate Highlights
- Paramount's natural gas diversification strategy resulted in an average realized natural gas sales price of $1.58 /Mcf in the third quarter, 46 percent higher than average AECO prices.
- In the third quarter of 2019, approximately 65 percent of Paramount's natural gas production was sold at AECO prices. The Company is well positioned to take advantage of the recent strengthening of market fundamentals in Alberta . In October 2019 , the Company entered into AECO fixed-price physical contracts to sell 40,000 GJ/d of natural gas at $2.34 /GJ for winter 2019/2020 and 60,000 GJ/d of natural gas at $1.56 /GJ for summer 2020.
- Paramount closed the sale of its Karr 6-18 Facility for net cash proceeds of $327.6 million in August 2019 .
- The Company's long-term debt balance at September 30, 2019 was $720.9 million . Paramount has a $1.5 billion bank credit facility that matures in November 2022 .
- To date, the Company has purchased and cancelled 2.6 million Paramount common shares under its 2019 normal course issuer bid program (the ʺ2019 NCIBʺ) at a total cost of $14.4 million . These purchases were mainly funded by the disposition of a portion of the Company's investment in MEG Energy Corp.
Ops Review
Paramount's sales volumes averaged 81,046 Boe/d in the third quarter of 2019, relatively unchanged from the second quarter. Liquids volumes increased to 31,612 Bbl/d (39 percent of total sales) in the third quarter compared to 30,171 Bbl/d (37 percent of total sales) in the second quarter. Liquids-rich production continued to ramp-up at both Wapiti and Kaybob South Duvernay. Third quarter production at Karr and Kaybob was impacted by planned facilities outages as well as the temporary shut-in of certain dry gas wells, as the Company proactively managed seasonally low natural gas prices.
Cash from operating activities was $48.6 million in the third quarter of 2019 compared to $48.1 million in the second quarter. Third quarter adjusted funds flow was $50.9 million ( $0.39 per share) compared to $54.2 million ( $0.41 per share) in the second quarter of 2019. Adjusted funds flow was impacted by lower realized prices and incremental third-party processing fees following the sale of the Karr 6-18 Facility.
Paramount permanently shut down its dry gas Hawkeye property in late-2018 and its Zama property in the first half of 2019 due to challenging economics. The closure of Zama is expected to reduce the Company's total operating expenses by approximately $27 million per year. The Company has permanently shut-in approximately 2,100 Boe/d of uneconomic production since the fourth quarter of 2018.
Base capital spending totaled $113.1 million for the third quarter and $265.0 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2019 , with capital programs at Wapiti and Central Alberta coming in under budget. As a result of capital efficiencies realized to date in the 2019 program, the Company has accelerated drilling operations for 10 (10.0 net) Montney wells at Karr into the fourth quarter of 2019 that were originally scheduled for 2020, while maintaining its 2019 base capital budget at $350 million .
GRANDE PRAIRIE REGION
Karr
|
Q3 2019 |
Q2 2019 |
|||
|
Sales volumes |
||||
|
Natural gas (MMcf/d) |
58.3 |
68.5 |
||
|
Condensate and oil (Bbl/d) |
8,712 |
8,858 |
||
|
Other NGLs (Bbl/d) |
1,117 |
1,505 |
||
|
Total (Boe/d) |
19,542 |
21,782 |
||
|
% liquids |
50% |
48% |
||
|
Netback |
($ millions) |
($/Boe) |
($ millions) |
($/Boe) |
|
Petroleum and natural gas sales |
63.3 |
35.24 |
72.0 |
36.32 |
|
Royalties |
(5.7) |
(3.15) |
(9.8) |
(4.90) |
|
Operating expense |
(27.8) |
(15.47) |
(20.1) |
(10.14) |
|
Transportation and NGLs processing |
(6.6) |
(3.66) |
(5.2) |
(2.65) |
|
23.2 |
12.96 |
36.9 |
18.63 |
|
Third quarter 2019 sales volumes at Karr averaged 19,542 Boe/d compared to 21,782 Boe/d in the second quarter of 2019. Third quarter production at Karr was impacted for 12 days by scheduled processing facility outages and the temporary shut-in of two wells for approximately six weeks due to offsetting completion activities at the 4-24 pad.
The third quarter decrease in Karr netbacks was mainly the result of lower production, incremental third-party processing fees and higher water disposal costs. Incremental processing fees at the 6-18 Facility represented approximately $2.85 per Boe of third quarter per-unit operating costs for Karr alone and $0.70 per Boe for the Company.
At the 4-24 pad, 5 (5.0 net) new Montney wells were completed and brought-on production in late-September, exhibiting very strong initial performance, averaging 2,027 Boe/d of gross peak 30-day production per well with a CGR of 339 Bbl/MMcf.(1) Completion costs for these wells averaged $6.8 million per well compared to budgeted type-well completion costs of $7.7 million .
Paramount has also drilled 3 (3.0 net) new Montney wells on the 1-19 pad, which are scheduled to be brought on-stream late in the fourth quarter. Karr area sales volumes are expected to increase through the balance of the year as new production ramps up on the 4-24 and 1-19 pads.
In the fourth quarter of 2019, the Company commenced drilling operations for 10 (10.0 net) Montney wells that were originally scheduled for 2020. Paramount's focus on continuous improvement resulted in a new pacesetter well drilling cost of approximately $2.9 million , which compares to budgeted Karr type-well drilling costs of $4.0 million per well.
These ten new Karr wells will be completed and brought-on production in 2020, once the third-party midstream operator completes its expansion of the 6-18 Facility. Paramount is also investing in additional water injection facilities in 2020 to add incremental water disposal capacity. As Karr production ramps up, the expansion of the 6-18 Facility is completed and new water injection facilities come on-stream, per-unit operating costs at Karr are expected to decrease.
The Company drilled its first Lower Montney well at Karr in 2018, and the 4-24 and 1-19 pads each include one Lower Montney well. The results of these three wells will be incorporated in Paramount's assessment of total Montney well location inventory, in the context of optimizing recoveries and capital efficiencies.
Montney wells at Karr continue to exhibit strong production rates and condensate yields. The following table summarizes the performance of wells on the 4-24 and 1-2 pads, and the 27 wells drilled in the 2016/2017 capital program:
|
Peak 30-Day (1) |
Cumulative (2) |
||||||
|
Total |
Wellhead Liquids |
CGR (3) |
Total |
Wellhead |
CGR (3) |
Days on |
|
|
(Boe/d) |
(Bbl/d) |
(Bbl/MMcf) |
(MBoe) |
(MBbl) |
(Bbl/MMcf) |
||
|
4-24 Pad |
|||||||
|
00/01-11-065-06W6/0 (4) |
1,878 |
1,271 |
349 |
89 |
59 |
328 |
50 |
|
00/02-12-065-06W6/0 |
1,836 |
1,308 |
413 |
83 |
59 |
410 |
50 |
|
02/03-12-065-06W6/0 |
2,029 |
1,308 |
302 |
110 |
69 |
280 |
57 |
|
00/04-12-065-06W6/0 |
2,084 |
1,320 |
288 |
114 |
69 |
256 |
57 |
|
00/03-12-065-06W6/0 |
2,307 |
1,584 |
365 |
139 |
91 |
316 |
64 |
|
1-2 Pad |
|||||||
|
02/01-26-065-05W6/0 |
2,108 |
1,333 |
287 |
431 |
245 |
220 |
360 |
|
02/04-25-065-05W6/0 |
1,703 |
951 |
211 |
484 |
231 |
152 |
393 |
|
00/02-26-065-05W6/0 |
2,058 |
1,286 |
278 |
627 |
351 |
212 |
405 |
|
00/04-25-065-05W6/0 (4) |
1,598 |
975 |
261 |
400 |
227 |
219 |
411 |
|
00/01-26-065-05W6/0 |
1,878 |
1,180 |
282 |
551 |
301 |
201 |
412 |
|
2016/2017 Wells |
|||||||
|
27 wells |
1,971 |
1,186 |
252 |
650 |
333 |
175 |
659 |
Wapiti
Sales volumes at Wapiti averaged 8,163 Boe/d in the third quarter of 2019, comprised of 13.0 MMcf/d of natural gas and 6,002 Bbl/d of liquids, and generated a netback of $14.2 million ( $18.94 per Boe). Intermittent production during the commissioning of the new third-party Wapiti Plant resulted in higher fuel gas and shrink losses. These impacts are expected to diminish as operations at the Wapiti Plant stabilize and throughput increases. Third quarter 2019 capital spending at Wapiti was $61.2 million , focused on completion operations at the 5-3 pad, which came in significantly under budget.
All 11 (11.0 net) wells on the Company's first pad at Wapiti, the 9-3 pad, have been brought- on production. This 11-well pad consists of a six-well block drilled to the south and a five-well block drilled to the north. The north and south blocks are specifically designed to test landing zone and spacing patterns. Completion costs for the 9-3 pad averaged $5.5 million per well, compared to budgeted Wapiti type-well completion costs of $7.8 million .
Initial production rates for these wells were impacted by an extended cycle time between completion operations and initial flowback, tubular limitations and intermittent production due to infrastructure capacity restrictions and commissioning activities at the Wapiti Plant. These early operational challenges have been largely alleviated and runtime and production rates have stabilized. Despite the operational challenges encountered with start-up, these wells have exhibited significantly higher CGRs than third-party offsetting wells which utilized a different completion design. The wells on the 9-3 pad are Paramount's first Wapiti wells fracked with the same completion design as utilized at Karr, which have also exhibited higher long-term production rates and higher CGRs than offsetting third-party wells.
The following table summarizes the performance to date of the 11 Montney wells on the 9-3 pad:
|
Peak 30-Day (1) |
Cumulative (2) |
||||||
|
Total |
Wellhead Liquids |
CGR (3) |
Total |
Wellhead |
CGR (3) |
Days on |
|
|
(Boe/d) |
(Bbl/d) |
(Bbl/MMcf) |
(MBoe) |
(MBbl) |
(Bbl/MMcf) |
||
|
9-3 Pad |
|||||||
|
02/06-15-068-06W6/0 |
1,511 |
1,088 |
429 |
66 |
48 |
444 |
50 |
|
00/11-27-067-06W6/0 |
1,360 |
880 |
306 |
95 |
61 |
299 |
90 |
|
02/07-15-068-06W6/0 |
1,192 |
815 |
360 |
112 |
77 |
367 |
133 |
|
03/08-15-068-06W6/0 |
962 |
689 |
421 |
99 |
72 |
444 |
133 |
|
02/08-15-068-06W6/0 |
969 |
693 |
418 |
106 |
73 |
369 |
137 |
|
02/10-27-067-06W6/0 |
1,137 |
779 |
363 |
133 |
89 |
337 |
138 |
|
03/10-27-067-06W6/0 |
1,111 |
749 |
345 |
140 |
87 |
274 |
155 |
|
03/07-15-068-06W6/0 |
1,042 |
787 |
514 |
120 |
83 |
374 |
156 |
|
02/09-27-067-06W6/0 |
1,094 |
769 |
394 |
150 |
100 |
333 |
158 |
|
03/09-27-067-06W6/0 |
1,268 |
794 |
279 |
185 |
121 |
315 |
174 |
|
04/09-27-067-06W6/0 |
1,536 |
1,102 |
423 |
191 |
123 |
301 |
175 |
The new 5-3 pad at Wapiti includes 12 (12.0 net) Montney wells. The Company achieved a new pacesetter drill cost of approximately $2.6 million for one of these wells, compared to budgeted type-well drilling costs of $3.5 million per well.
Three of the twelve wells on the 5-3 pad were brought-on production through inline test facilities in late-September, and three additional wells were started-up in October. The remaining wells are also scheduled to flowback on a rotational basis to recover completion fluids and prepare for the installation of permanent surface facilities. Initial flowback results have demonstrated higher initial production rates than the 9-3 pad, primarily due to flowing without tubular restrictions and a shorter cycle time between completion operations and initial flowback. The following table summarizes the initial production results for six of the wells that have produced to date:
|
Last Day of Production (1) |
Cumulative (2) |
|||||||
|
Total |
Wellhead |
CGR (3) |
Average |
Total |
Wellhead |
CGR (3) |
Days on |
|
|
(Boe/d) |
(Bbl/d) |
(Bbl/MMcf) |
(Boe/d) |
(MBoe) |
(MBbl) |
(Bbl/MMcf) |
||
|
5-3 Pad |
||||||||
|
00/09-28-067-06W6/0 |
1,893 |
1,336 |
400 |
1,501 |
9 |
7 |
465 |
6 |
|
02/11-27-067-06W6/0 |
2,042 |
1,432 |
391 |
1,975 |
23 |
17 |
445 |
12 |
|
00/12-27-067-06W6/0 |
1,869 |
1,281 |
363 |
1,805 |
24 |
17 |
398 |
14 |
|
02/12-27-067-06W6/0 |
2,064 |
1,296 |
281 |
2,071 |
33 |
21 |
310 |
16 |
|
03/11-27-067-06W6/0 |
2,620 |
1,612 |
267 |
2,021 |
46 |
30 |
317 |
23 |
|
02/09-28-067-06W6/0 |
1,538 |
939 |
261 |
1,412 |
57 |
36 |
296 |
40 |
KAYBOB REGION
Kaybob Region sales volumes averaged 34,615 Boe/d (31 percent liquids) in the third quarter of 2019 compared to 37,127 Boe/d (31 percent liquids) in the second quarter of the year. Sales volumes were lower in the third quarter as a result of base declines, scheduled facility outages and the temporary shut-in of dry gas wells due to low gas prices, partially offset by increased production at Kaybob South Duvernay.
Kaybob South Duvernay
At Kaybob South Duvernay, 5 (2.5 net) new wells on the 2-28 pad were drilled between June 2018 and January 2019 and completed in the spring of 2019. These wells were tied-in and brought-on production in June 2019 , averaging 1,222 Boe/d of gross peak 30-day production per well, with an average wellhead CGR of 171 Bbl/MMcf.(1) To date, these wells have an average cumulative CGR of 158 Bbl/MMcf.(2)
Kaybob Smoky Duvernay
In the fourth quarter of 2018, the Company brought 4 (4.0 net) new wells on production on the 10-35 pad at Kaybob Smoky Duvernay through Paramount's Smoky 06-16 gas plant. These wells are continuing to exceed internal type curve estimates. The following table summarizes the performance of the four wells on the 10-35 pad:
|
Peak 30-Day (1) |
Cumulative (2) |
||||||
|
Total |
Wellhead |
CGR (3) |
Total |
Wellhead |
CGR (3) |
Days on |
|
|
(Boe/d) |
(Bbl/d) |
(Bbl/MMcf) |
(MBoe) |
(MBbl) |
(Bbl/MMcf) |
||
|
10-35 Pad |
|||||||
|
00/09-25-063-21W5/2 |
1,150 |
779 |
350 |
210 |
132 |
282 |
319 |
|
02/01-25-063-21W5/0 |
1,303 |
728 |
211 |
332 |
194 |
234 |
324 |
|
00/16-25-063-21W5/0 |
1,452 |
998 |
366 |
237 |
153 |
304 |
343 |
|
00/08-25-063-21W5/0 |
1,345 |
897 |
334 |
289 |
169 |
235 |
370 |
Ante Creek Montney
The Kaybob Region drilling program for 2019 included an initial Montney appraisal well at Ante Creek. This well was completed and brought-on production in September. Initial production results are encouraging and continue to be evaluated.
CENTRAL ALBERTA AND OTHER REGION
Central Alberta and Other Region sales volumes averaged 18,504 Boe/d in the third quarter of 2019 compared to 18,862 Boe/d in the second quarter of 2019. The Company participated in one (0.5 net) well at Birch in northeast British Columbia , which was completed and brought-on production in the second quarter.
Paramount completed the full shut-down of Zama area production in June 2019 . The closure program will continue into 2020 to permanently suspend all facilities and over 2,000 kilometers of pipelines. The closure of Zama is expected to reduce the Company's total operating expenses by approximately $27 million per year.
The Company commenced its first ABC project in the third quarter at Hawkeye. Economies of scale gained under the ABC approach have resulted in significantly lower costs than prior estimates. Paramount will continue to optimize its abandonment and reclamation activities based on the actual experience and knowledge gained from this and other projects and pursue additional opportunities to further reduce costs on an on-going basis. The Company's undiscounted estimated asset retirement obligation was revised from $1.79 billion as at December 31, 2018 to $1.65 billion as at September 30, 2019 , and from $807.9 million to $749.1 million on a discounted basis.
Corporate
Paramount has 16,000 Bbl/d of liquids hedged for the remainder of 2019 at an average price of $78.05 /Bbl and 4,000 Bbl/d of liquids for 2020 at an average price of $80.11 /Bbl.
Paramount's natural gas diversification strategy includes approximately 122,000 GJ/d of sales under long-term contracts priced at the Dawn, US Midwest and Malin markets. The Company's average realized natural gas sales price for the third quarter of 2019 was $1.58 /Mcf, approximately 46 percent higher than average AECO prices.
In the third quarter of 2019, approximately 65 percent of Paramount's natural gas production was sold at AECO prices. The Company is well positioned to take advantage of the recent strengthening of market fundamentals, which have resulted in sharp increases in Alberta natural gas prices. In October 2019 , Paramount entered into AECO fixed-price physical contracts to sell 40,000 GJ/d of natural gas at $2.34 /GJ for winter 2019/2020 and 60,000 GJ/d of natural gas at $1.56 /GJ for summer 2020.
The Company's debt balance at September 30, 2019 was $720.9 million . Paramount has a $1.5 billion bank credit facility that matures in November 2022 .
In January 2019 , Paramount implemented the 2019 NCIB, under which the Company may purchase up to 7.1 million shares for cancellation. To date, the Company has purchased and cancelled 2.6 million common shares at a total cost of $14.4 million under the 2019 NCIB. These purchases were mainly funded by the disposition of a portion of the Company's investment in MEG Energy Corp.
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